Friday 4/10/09 service plays chatter /comps/ requests & gm strategy...

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Friday 4/10/09 service plays chatter/comps/requests & gm strategy...
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Comps

VEGAS EXPERTS

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles

The Rays just finished off a series with the Red Sox and now drop in class to the only team in the AL East that's not expected to be very good this year. After taking the first two games of a three-game set with the Yankees, Baltimore was really roughed up in an 11-2 loss Thursday and now O's starter Hendrickson must deal with a Rays lineup that produced seven runs in its only matchup with a lefty starter to date. Hendrickson lost to Tampa both times he faced them last year.

Play on: Tampa Bay
 
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Craig Trapp

Utah Jazz vs. San Antonio Spurs
Play: Utah Jazz +3.5

When the end of NBA year comes Craig always is looking for the motivated team! In this match up it is definately the Utah Jazz. The Spurs are coming off bad nose as they found out they have lost start guard Manu Ginobli for the season. Lets look at these two teams records and trends:

Records:

Utah Jazz- 47-31 38-40 ATS

SA Spurs- 50-28 38-38-2 ATS

Trends:

-Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.

-Jazz are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.

-Spurs are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall.

-Spurs are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.

As you can see neither of these teams have been great ATS this year. Also recently they are both not going well ATS. In this case you have to fall back onto the straight up handicapping. The Spurs have beat the Jazz 20 straight times at home but currently are in a tailspin losing 4 out of there last 6. Both are in the playoffs but if the Jazz win they can push for home court advantage for the first round of the playoffs. This game will be playoff type atmosphere. The Jazz group of inside players will hold down a beat up Tim Duncan and break the losing streak in SA. Enjoy the free winner. SCORE UTAH 100 - SA 95
 
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Nelly

New Jersey + over Detroit

The Pistons got the big win they needed on Wednesday and now Detroit sits in strong position for one of the final playoff spots. That Detroit needed a big win to stay in the playoff chase this late in the season says a lot about how far they have fallen in the Eastern Conference after being the premier team for several years. The Pistons are 13-26 ATS at home this season and 5-9 S/U in the last 14 games overall. New Jersey has continued to play hard late in the season with recent wins over these Pistons and the 76ers so far in April. The Nets also played two very close games against Boston and Chicago on the road. New Jersey has been a strong ATS team on the road all season long and the Nets have won 15 games S/U on the road this season, far more than most teams with similar records. New Jersey is the much better offensive team and Detroit's defense is no where near as strong as it used to be. The Nets are a dangerous team playing as a big underdog and Detroit should let down after playing a great game on Wednesday.
 
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Marc Lawrence

Play On: L.A. Angels vs. Wakefield

On the heels of the tragic death of pitcher Nick Adenhart, the Angles take on Tim Wakefield and the Red Sox in the opener of this three game set. While the Halos own a 9-3 winning edge of late in this series and Wakefield has struggled in this park throughout his major league career 91-5 with a 6.81 ERA here) the main focus on tonight's game is the Angels' desire to win this contest in honor of Adenhart. Look for a concerned effort by the Halos here tonight.
 
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James Patrick Sports

Hornets vs.Mavericks

Nobody in the NBA has been on the mark of late as have the Dallas Mavericks putting up 130 & 140 point totals in their past two games. With the Mavs Over the Total in 11 of 21 as a favorite and 9 of 11 at home we'll recommend our complimentary NBA selection on New Orleans - Dallas Over the Total.
 
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Big Al Mcmordie

Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Angels
Prediction: Los Angeles Angels

At 10:05 pm, our member selection is on the Los Angeles Angels over Boston. The storyline in this ballgame will be, "How will the Angels react to the shocking death of their young teammate, Nick Adenhart?" Although the pain will be with the club for a while, I expect the Angels to come out with a focused effort tonight, and get the Win as a sort of "dedication" to their fallen teammate. Tim Wakefield will get the ball for the BoSox, and the Angels have bombed him in his last two starts (10 runs in 11 innings). Overall, since 1997, Boston's only won 7 of Wakefield's 18 starts vs. Anaheim, and his ERA is 5.33. In his last three home starts in 2008, Jered Weaver gave up just five earned runs in 18 innings. Take the Angels.
 
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Bob Harvey

Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers
Play: Over 9½

The Rangers have come roaring out of the gate winning three straight. They’re averaging over nine runs per game to start the season and are allowing nearly five runs per game.

The prospects for another OVER look good today as well. Texas will start the well traveled Kris Benson who hasn’t appeared in a big league game since 2006. Even when healthy, Benson isn’t an overpowering pitcher and for that matter hasn’t been a productive one either. The former #1 pick of the Pirates 13 years ago has a career mark of 68-73 and an ERA of 4.34. He was with the Phillies AAA team last season and went 1-4 with an ERA of 5.52. To no one’s surprise he was released following the season. His signing should tell you plenty about the woeful shape the Rangers pitching staff is in.

Detroit has gotten off to a slow start losing three of its first four games. Pitching has been the culprit for Jim Leyland’s team with Tiger hurlers posting a combined 6.00 ERA. Armando Gallaraga who won 13 games last season will be throwing ‘em down for the Tigers in their home opener. Gallaraga’s ERA last season was under four so if he’s on, he’ll be tough.

I say with all of the big bats up and down both of these line-ups the OVER is the right play here.
 
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Jimmy The Moose

Nashville Predators at Minnesota Wild
Prediction: Nashville Predators

With Thursday's win in Detroit the Predators are tied with the Duck and the Blues with 88 points and one of the three team's won't make the playoffs. This is Nashville's last game of the year and they need the win. The Predators have won 5 of theor last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. The Wild are 3-9 in their last 12 vs. a team from the Central Division. The Wild are 1-4 in their last 5 games played with 2 days rest between action. Nashville has won the last 2 meetings, 2-0 and 1-0 and will take this one. Play on the Nashville Predators -.
 
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Sports Gambling Hotline

Cleveland -6' at PHILADLEPHIA

We are on an 8-3 comp play run the last 11 days!

The way the 76ers are playing right now, tonight's game could possibly wind up being a first round preview, as Philly's current 3-game slide is not the kind of slide you want to go on with just a few games remaining.

Cleveland does have a Sunday showdown with Boston on-deck, but we don't expect them to be distracted against a Philadelphia team they have won 4 in a row against, and 8 of 10 overall.

More importantly, Cleveland has been able to cover the number in the last 3 series showdowns, and with the 76ers a money-burning 7-12 against the spread when playing with no rest, we don't see this game being close.

Yes, Philadelphia has clinched a playoff spot, but it may not be the spot they had hoped for just a few days ago.

Play on the Cavs to hang loss # 4 in a row on Philly.

3♦ CLEVELAND
 
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">Jeff Benton

Tough beat with Thursday's freebie on the Kings, who had the game covered against Houston for three quarters before falling part. Still, I'm 9-5 with complimentary plays over the last two weeks, and we'll look to build on that record Friday as we head the diamond and side with the Rangers as a nice-sized road underdog at Detroit.

The Tigers would seem to have the starting pitching edge here, as they hand the ball to one of their top prospects, hard-throwing Armando Galarraga, while the Rangers are going with former hot-shot prospect Kris Benson, who hasn’t pitched in a big-league game since 2006 when he was with Baltimore.

However, I get the feeling that the Tigers could trot out Sandy Koufax circa 1963 and have a hard time shutting down this juggernaut of a Rangers offense. Texas completely destroyed a pretty decent Cleveland Indians staff the last three days, scoring 29 runs on 37 hits, including seven home runs as the Rangers beat the tar out of reigning A.L. Cy Young winner Cliff Lee, phenom Fausto Carmona and veteran Carl Pavano.

Texas – surprisingly, the only team in the American League that’s still unbeaten – is off to its first 3-0 start since 1996, when it won the A.L. West. I know it’s early, but if this club gets any kind of pitching whatsoever, it is going to be in the hunt all season long.

Meanwhile, Detroit dropped three of four in Toronto to start the year, allowing 23 runs in the three defeats. It must be like déjà vu for Tigers skipper Jim Leyland, who saw his ballclub stumble badly out of the gate last year and never recover despite entering the season as one of the favorites to win it all. And even though Galarraga, by all accounts, has electric stuff, the fact is that while he allowed three earned runs or fewer in seven of 10 starts after Aug. 1 last year, he also went 1-3 with a 6.75 ERA in his final four outings last year – with the Tigers getting outscored 26-16 in those four contests.

Bottom line: With the way that the Rangers’ young lineup is hitting right now – and that’s with minimal contributions from hits best hitter, Josh Hamilton (.333 average, but just one RBI – and with as shaky as Detroit’s bullpen is (once again), this juicy plus price is too good to pass up!

3♦ TEXAS RANGERS
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Bobby Maxwell

Tampa Bay at BALTIMORE +120

We delivered you a FREE winner on the diamond Thursday as the Giants got an easy win over the Brewers at home. Today we've got another comp winner on the Orioles as they host the Rays in Baltimore.

Both these teams had successful opening series to begin the season with the Rays going to Boston and taking two of three while the Orioles took two of three at home against the Yankees.

While the Rays have won 12 in a row in this rivalry, we like the makeup of this young Baltimore squad. They have speed, defense and decent pitching. They need a little more pop in the lineup but these guys are going to make some noise in this A.L. East.

Mark Hendrickson is on the mound for the Orioles tonight after going 7-8 for the Marlins last season. He should be familiar with the Rays as he pitched for them in 2004, 2005 and 2006. He did most of his work out of the bullpen last year for the Marlins but didn't allow a run in eight of his last nine appearances.

Andy Sonnanstine was 13-9 last year for the Rays with a 4.38 ERA and he got hti pretty hard at the end of last season, giving up three earned runs or more in three of his last four starts, including his World Series outing when he gave up five runs in four innings of their 10-2 loss.

The Rays are just 5-13 in their last 18 roadies against left-handers and 0-4 when they are a road favorite. Play the Orioles in this one at home.

3♦ BALTIMORE
 
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Karl Garrett

Charlotte -3' at OKLAHOMA CITY

It is a 12-4 comp play run for the G-Man coming into Friday's NBA action!

While it may a little too late for the Bobcats, I am rolling with Charlotte to cover the road impost at Oklahoma City tonight.

Charlotte still has a playoff pulse, but they must win out, and hope for some help from above. Hey, stranger things have happened, and the fact remain the Thunder are crawling to the finish line right now, losers of 9 of their last 11 straight up.

The points haven't been much of a help for Okie City either, as they have dropped 8 of those 11 against the math.

The Bobcats just ended a 3-game slide with a win over Philadelphia the other days, and they have won the last 3 meetings against Oklahoma City, going 2-0-1 against the spread in those 3.

G-Man laying the small road chalk, and backing the Bobcats.

3♦ CHARLOTTE
 
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons

CAL (-150) vs EDM

The scoreboard read a one-sided loss. The play was the complete opposite. The Flames were easily the better team from start to finish, outshooting the Canucks 46-25. Calgary simply couldn't solve Roberto Luongo. Jarome Iginla's late second-period goal drew them even, but Mattias Ohlund scored 22 seconds later for the game-winner; that being said I expect a complete effort tonight as the Flames look to secure top spot in the Northwest. Look for CALGARY to improve to 14-9 (+3.6 units) vs. division opponents!
 
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Dunkel NBA

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Today's NBA Picks
Phoenix at Memphis

The Suns are just 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite and run into a Memphis team that is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games as a home underdog between 1 and 4 1/2 points. The Grizzlies are the underdog pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game even. Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 10
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Cleveland at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 126.716; Philadelphia 118.535
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 8; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 6 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-6 1/2); Over

Game 703-704: New York at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: New York 114.506; Orlando 125.972
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 11 1/2; 214 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 10 1/2; 209 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-10 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Miami at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 119.226; Boston 125.466
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 707-708: Indiana at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.356; Atlanta 123.192
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 5; 205 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta 6 1/2; 211 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+6 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: New Jersey at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 113.645; Detroit 119.280
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 5 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 7; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+7); Over

Game 711-712: Phoenix at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 118.531; Memphis 118.683
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 221 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 2 1/2; 226
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+2 1/2); Under

Game 713-714: Washington at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.613; Toronto 120.890
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 10 1/2; 228
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 715-716: Charlotte at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 119.040; Oklahoma City 112.907
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 6; 194 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 3 1/2; 187
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-3 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: New Orleans at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 114.173; Dallas 123.972
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 10; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6); Over

Game 719-720: Utah at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 116.239; San Antonio 123.116
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7; 197 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: LA Lakers at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 123.534; Portland 127.957
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 4 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 1; 195
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+1); Over

Game 723-724: Sacramento at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 109.693; LA Clippers 112.564
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 3; 230
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 725-726: Houston at Golden State
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 121.682; Golden State 116.505
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6; 225
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
<!-- / message -->
 
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Dunkel MLB

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Today's MLB Picks
Seattle at Oakland

The Mariners are 0-4 in Rowland-Smith's last 4 starts as an underdog and face an Oakland team that is 7-1 in its last 8 home games. The A's are the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has Oakland favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135). Here are all of today's games

FRIDAY, APRIL 10
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago Cubs (Harden) 15.181; Milwaukee (Looper) 15.076
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-145); Over

Game 903-904: Philadelphia at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 14.857; Colorado (Marquis) 16.389
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+140); Over

Game 905-906: Pittsburgh at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 14.206; Cincinnati (Cueto) 14.959
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-140); Over

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Maine) 15.462; Florida (Sanchez) 14.975
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-130); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-130); Under

Game 909-910: Washington at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Martis) 13.111; Atlanta (Lowe) 16.770
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-215); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-215); Over

Game 911-912: Houston at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Hampton) 15.635; St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.295
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+140); Under

Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (McDonald) 13.452; Arizona (Garland) 14.707
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-115); Over

Game 915-916: San Francisco at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 14.222; San Diego (Hill) 14.988
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+120); Over

Game 917-918: Texas at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Benson) 15.528; Detroit (Galarraga) 15.373
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Detroit (-165); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+155); Under

Game 919-920: Toronto at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Richmond) 14.766; Cleveland (Lewis) 15.542
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-150); Under

Game 921-922: NY Yankees at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Pettitte) 17.367; Kansas City (Ponson) 16.175
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-160); Over

Game 923-924: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Sonnanstine) 15.114; Baltimore (Hendrickson) 16.003
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+125); Over

Game 925-926: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Dickey) 16.350; White Sox (Contreras) 14.644
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-155); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Over

Game 927-928: Boston at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Wakefield) 14.032; LA Angels (Weaver) 15.624
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Over

Game 929-930: Seattle at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 14.893; Oakland (Anderson) 15.952
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135); Over
<!-- / message -->
 
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Dunkel NHL

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Today's NHL Picks
Columbus at St. Louis

The Blue Jackets run into a St. Louis team that is 7-2 in its last 9 games, including 4-0 at home. The Blues are the pick (-160) according to Dunkel, which has St. Louis favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160). Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, APRIL 10
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Nashville at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.503; Minnesota 12.867
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-170); 5
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-170); Under

Game 3-4: Columbus at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.516; St. Louis 12.675
Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-160); Over

Game 5-6: Calgary at Edmonton
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 10.627; Edmonton 12.115
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-155); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+135); Over

Game 7-8: Dallas at Anaheim
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.564; Anaheim 10.904
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-240); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+200); Under
 

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If anyone happens to come across it.. thanks in advance fellas..

Lenny Del Genio's NBA VEGAS ICON (only 1 of Reg Season!)
Lenny's top-rated plays in ALL sports are his VEGAS ICON Plays. His only one of the NBA Reg Season goes Friday! His last VEGAS ICON was in the NCAA Tourney when UNC DOMINATED Oklahoma. His final NFL VEGAS ICON saw the Eagles upset the Giants in the Playoffs. In CFB, it was Nebraska OUTRIGHT over Clemson in the Gator Bowl!
 

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